When the watercarriers report that massive government advertising is making a material difference to BC Liberal fortunes, be inclined to skepticism. Last November, Stephen Smart, CBC’s Liberal correspondent, said Angus Reid’s poll gave new hope to the Clark government. Except an analysis of decided and leaning voters suggested nothing much had changed.
Angus-Reid’s January poll again demonstrates that rather little has changed. Michael Smyth raced the folks at NW to announce that government strategy was working successfully. The news that excited them?
The two parties supported by big business remain at 41%. The two parties not supported by big business remain at 56%. Liberals up two points, Conservatives down two points, Greens gain one and the NDP lose one. None of this is significant because, as Angus Reid points out:
“The margin of error — which measures sampling variability — is +/- 3.5%.”
My argument in November was that BC’s political alignments had been relatively stable. That remains true although the fact is unlikely to be reported in the corporate media.